Instrument: EURUSD
Bullish Preference:
A buy position is envisaged if the price trades above 1.08122 with take profit at 1.08284
Bearish Preference:
A sell position is envisaged if the price trades below 1.07955 with take profit at 1.07755
Fundamentals:
2:00 PM USD S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
3:00 PM CB Consumer Confidence
3:00 PM OLTS Job Openings
Comment:
The ECB hawks have stepped in to revive depressed rate expectations, but markets are opting for data dependency, and EUR/USD is set to face two key risk events with eurozone inflation figures before the US payrolls this week. We expect core inflation will prove resilient enough to trigger another ECB hike, so see upside room for the pair
It has been a slow start to the week for FX markets. Yesterday’s closure of the UK’s markets for a national holiday meant much thinner trading volumes, and the key data calendar was quite light. In the US, the only release to note was the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, which dropped slightly more than expected into contraction territory, confirming the slack in the manufacturing territory already signaled by other surveys (ISM, PMIs).
Analysis: SCRUM Team